An assessment of the W. B. Schwartz, F. A. Sloan and D. N. Mendelsohn study "Why there will be little or no physician surplus between now and the year 2000"

the long version

"Why there will be little or no physician surplus between now and the year 2000," by W. B. Schwartz, F. A. Sloan, and D. N. Mendelsohn, appeared in the April 7, 1988 issue of the New England Journal of Medicine. The report was referred to as "the Schwartz study," represents a useful, significant contribution to the study of the future supply and requirements for physicians... This paper presents an analysis of the assumptions made by the Schwartz study, compares them with the assumptions used in other major studies and projections, and presents other evidence relevant to these issues.--p. 1.